Everything
seemed so sudden and confusing about Raghuram Rajan’s exit from the Reserve
Bank of India. What went with the government and the RBI governor is still
being debated in the media. Yet he did what was right and that is to address
the inflation in India which usually hits the ordinary man on the streets quite
high. The common man always suffers just with a little increase in prices and
the same has to be addressed through monetary intervention. And that is
obviously one of the most important jobs of RBI.
Apart
from politics the interest rates aren’t too high and the rise in prices ought
to be checked from the supply side. This means that monetary policies have
their own limitations. There is good
news that the government has started to import food grains, pulses and lentils from
the African nations. This is good as that would ensure price stability. This
also means that the onus is on the government to reduce the price of essential
commodities. This could be stretched to mining products too.
It
is to be reasoned that in the short and medium term we may have deficit of
trade with most African nations and some South East nations, but that is
unavoidable at this juncture. Let that continue and here is the step that
politics should get better hand than economics and there should be continuous
engagement through our diplomatic routes with these nations so that raw
materials for consumers and industries are imported without any hassles. In the
long run, of course, we can create parity in trade despite the volatility of
politics there.
This
would be better if we were to demarcate and emphasize trade data continent wise
helping the government to keep in mind the immediate imbalances that may exist
especially with African and South East nations. This could be addressed by
exports later.
Mr.
Rajan did an exemplary job and one hopes that the decision to quit is his own.
Perhaps, he may toying with the idea to be a full academic and who knows that
we may soon find some great truths in economics brought to light in the course
of his brilliant research career.
One
of his most remarkable achievements other than containing inflation was his
unique ability to stabilize the currency and helping banks to address their
NPAs and not in least bringing about reforms in the financial sector which
perhaps he may leave unfinished.
No comments:
Post a Comment